A Critical Analysis of "Platform-Specific Data Decay Patterns: A Comparative Study of Twitter, Reddit, and TikTok" and Its Reference to Research by Scott M. Graffius

BY SCOTT M. GRAFFIUS | ScottGraffius.com

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Recommended Citation

Graffius, S. M. (2026, July 17). A Critical Analysis of "Platform-Specific Data Decay Patterns: A Comparative Study of Twitter, Reddit, and TikTok" and Its Reference to Research by Scott M. Graffius. ScottGraffius.com. https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/critical-analysis-of-paper-on-data-decay-patterns.html




About This Article

Source information and links for materials cited are provided in the References section.




Introduction



Social media content typically has a short window of relevance and engagement. An advantageous objective metric is half-life. It’s the time it takes for a post to receive half of its total engagement (such as likes, shares, and comments). Understanding post half-life helps inform strategic and tactical decisions, including the frequency and timing of content publication.

First published in 2018, Scott M. Graffius updates his "Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts" research annually to account for evolving algorithms and other changes on platforms over time. It draws on large-scale, multi-source data and has been featured by businesses, government agencies, academic journals, professional associations, universities, and researchers globally.

The 2025 paper titled "Platform-Specific Data Decay Patterns: A Comparative Study of Twitter, Reddit, and TikTok" (Kaleel et al.) was published in
MEDAAD (Vol. 2025, pp. 8-26), a journal associated with Peninsula Publishing. The authors focus on a comparative analysis of content decay (persistence over time) across Twitter (now X), Reddit, and TikTok. They present a persistence-aware metric called the Decay Score (DS) and discuss challenges in social media research due to platform-driven data loss. The topic is noteworthy because data decay has implications for research reproducibility, methodological validity, and the interpretation of longitudinal studies involving digital platforms.

That Kaleel et al. paper cites Graffius' research. While a careful reading makes clear that Graffius' work is distinct from the study's framing, methods, and conclusions, citations can sometimes create perceived alignment where none exists — especially for readers who may not examine the full context in detail. For that reason, Graffius provides the following objective, evidence-based assessment.

Select excerpts from the paper are shown below.

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Critical Analysis of the Kaleel et al. Paper



1. Strengths

The primary strength of the Kaleel et al. paper is its focus on the transient nature of online content as a result of API changes, moderation decisions, and user or platform actions. Its attempt at cross-platform comparison contributes to broader awareness of platform-specific differences. Additionally, the discussion reinforces the value of archival resources and persistence-aware methodologies in addressing challenges associated with the availability and longevity of digital data.

The preceding content (1. Strengths) highlighted the merits of the paper. Points 2, 3, 4, and 5 cover weaknesses, limitations, and other concerns.

2. Claims of Novelty

The Kaleel et al. paper overstates the novelty of its contributions. The proposed Decay Score is a percentage-loss metric conceptually similar to established attrition, survival, persistence, and availability measures used in prior research. Comparable approaches already appear in link-rot, digital preservation, and content-availability studies under different terminology, yet the paper does not meaningfully engage those prior works.

3. Methodology

Methodology is the Kaleel et al. paper’s most significant weakness. Sampling details are vague (random and purposive/thematic on political/viral content) with no sample size, power analysis, or clear protocols. Data collection relies on Tweepy, PRAW, and Selenium without addressing rate limits, terms-of-service compliance, or related controls. Decay classification is subjective. Additionally, there is no evidence of validation processes. These shortcomings make the study effectively non-replicable.

4. Results, Data Presentation, and Implications

Results in the Kaleel et al. paper are largely anecdotal and descriptive rather than empirical.

Referenced charts and tables contain vague or placeholder data, and retention claims lack supporting statistics, error bars, or transparency. No open dataset or supplementary materials are provided, making it impossible to verify significance or rule out sampling bias.

The discussion section of the paper highlights issues such as epistemic risks, archiving needs, and impacts on political science and misinformation studies. However, it overgeneralizes without appropriate evidence. There is also confirmation bias in framing ephemerality negatively without acknowledging its potential benefits.

5. Citation of Graffius' Work

The Kaleel et al. paper includes Graffius’ "Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts: Update for 2025" in its references and cites figures indicating that the engagement half-life was 49 minutes for Twitter/X and 155 minutes for Reddit. Those values are correct.

However, there is a significant conceptual mismatch in how the cited research is positioned. Graffius’ research measures engagement half-life, a relatively (typically) short-term metric of audience interaction. By contrast, Kaleel et al. examine long-term content decay through deletions, suspensions, and unavailability over months. These are distinct constructs with different definitions, methodologies, and scopes.

Because the two studies address different constructs, Graffius’ work should not be interpreted as validating the paper’s Decay Score (DS) metric, moderation conclusions, or specific longitudinal claims. The issue is the paper’s application of a separate engagement-based metric within a different decay/persistence framework without adequately distinguishing the underlying concepts. Accurate citation requires that sources be represented within their original definitions, methods, and scope.

By applying Graffius’ engagement metrics in a decay/persistence context without clearly differentiating the underlying constructs, the paper may create an impression of methodological alignment or endorsement where none exists. Graffius does not endorse the paper.

Conclusion



Kaleel et al. focus on a relevant challenge in digital research: the persistence, availability, and reproducibility of social media data in environments shaped by platform changes, moderation, and user behavior. However, the paper’s proposed solutions are undermined by methodological opacity, insufficient empirical validation, unsupported quantitative claims, limited engagement with relevant prior research, and other issues. Its citation of Graffius’ engagement half-life research should not be interpreted as support for the paper’s Decay Score, persistence framework, or conclusions, as the two studies examine fundamentally different constructs. Robust research on social media data decay requires clear definitions, transparent methods, reproducible evidence, and careful distinction between distinct separate measures. Accordingly, readers should treat the paper's findings with caution.




Note



The Kaleel et al. paper cited the 2025 edition of Graffius' work. Source information and links for materials cited are provided in the References section of this article.

Additionally, a visual from the current (
2026) edition of Graffius’ respective work is also provided below for completeness and contemporaneous context. The 2026 edition stands out for its:

◾️ Scope (5.6 million posts),
◾️ Coverage (11 platforms),
◾️ Methodology (multi-source, representative, data-driven),
◾️ Continuity (annual updates), and
◾️ Value (actionable insights).

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Scott M. Graffius has generated over $2.51 billion in business value for Fortune 500 companies and other organizations around the world. Put that track record to work for you. For speaking engagements, use the request form; for other inquiries, email him.




References



Kaleel, A., Ziani, A., Alkaabi, S. A. M. S., & Alhajri, B. K. . (2025). Platform-Specific Data Decay Patterns: A Comparative Study of Twitter, Reddit, and TikTok.
MEDAAD, 2025, 8-26. https://doi.org/10.70470/MEDAAD/2025/002

Graffius, S. M. (2025, January 6). Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts: Update for 2025. ScottGraffius.com. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.35085.65761

Graffius, S. M. (2026, January 23). Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts: Update for 2026. ScottGraffius.com. https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.32407.43689




About the Authors of the Paper



Information on the authors, as of the publication of their paper, follow.

Akhmed Kaleel is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Media and Creative Industries at United Arab Emirates University (UAEU), College of Humanities and Social Sciences. He holds a PhD in Philology and Humanities (Communication & Media) and combines academic research and university teaching with practical experience as a media practitioner, consultant, event organizer, and translator. Fluent in Arabic, English, and Russian, he has previously held positions at institutions including the Higher Colleges of Technology and has published on topics such as artificial intelligence in media and public relations, social media in education, and related areas.

Abdulkrim Ziani is a Professor of Digital Media and Communication Studies in the College of Communication and Media at Al Ain University, Abu Dhabi, UAE. He earned his PhD in Media and Communication Sciences from Grenoble University, France, in 2007, and has served as a university professor since 2001, with prior appointments at the University of Tripoli (Libya), University of Bahrain, Ahlia University (Bahrain), and Umm Al Quwain University. His research centers on digital media, journalism, and social media in Arab and Middle Eastern contexts. He has also held media leadership roles, including editor-in-chief of the Africa News Portal.

Salma Abdullah Mohamed Saeed Alkaabi is a student of Applied Media at the Higher Colleges of Technology in Abu Dhabi, UAE.

Beena Khalid Alhajri is a student of Applied Media at the Higher Colleges of Technology in Abu Dhabi, UAE.




About Scott M. Graffius



scott_m_graffius_-_blue_-_1000x1000_-lwres

Scott M. Graffius is a strategic transformation leader who drives AI, Agile, and broader business and technology initiatives to deliver measurable value across projects, programs, portfolios, and PMOs. He is an expert in the teamwork tradecraft of both human and human-AI teams, including the “exotic team dynamics” that emerge. He is also an authority on the temporal patterns of social media, including the half-life of audience engagement.

He’s a practitioner, researcher, thought leader, award-winning author, and keynote speaker who’s taken the stage at 98 conferences and other events across 25 countries.

He’s delivered over $2.51 billion in value for Fortune 500 companies and other leaders in technology, entertainment, financial services, healthcare, and beyond.

Businesses, professional associations, government agencies, and universities use Graffius and feature his work. Examples include Adobe, Bayer, Boston University, Ford, Gartner, Harvard Medical School, IEEE, Johns Hopkins University, Microsoft, MSN, National Academy of Sciences, Oracle, Pinterest Inc., Project Management Institute, UC San Diego, Verizon, Yale University, and others.

The following sections provide additional information on his experience, contributions, and influence.

Experience

Graffius heads the professional services firm Exceptional PPM and PMO Solutions, along with its subsidiary Exceptional Agility. These consultancies offer strategic and tactical advisory, training, embedded expertise, and consulting services to the public, private, and government sectors. They help organizations enhance their capabilities and results in agile, project management, program management, portfolio management, and PMO leadership, supporting innovation and driving competitive advantage. The consultancies confidently back services with a Delighted Client Guarantee™.

Graffius is a former VP of project management with a publicly traded provider of diverse consumer products and services over the Internet. Before that, he ran and supervised the delivery of projects and programs in public and private organizations with businesses ranging from e-commerce to advanced technology products and services, retail, manufacturing, entertainment, and more.

He has experience with consumer, business, reseller, government, and international markets.

Award-Winning Author

Graffius has authored three books.


International Public Speaker

Organizations worldwide engage Graffius to present on tech (including AI), Agile, project management, program management, portfolio management, and PMO leadership. He crafts and delivers unique and compelling talks and workshops.
Graffius has conducted 98 sessions across 25 countries. Select examples of events include Agile Trends Gov, BSides (Newcastle Upon Tyne), Conf42 Quantum Computing, DevDays Europe, DevOps Institute, DevOpsDays (Geneva), Frug’Agile, IEEE, Microsoft, Scottish Summit, Scrum Alliance RSG (Nepal), Techstars, and W Love Games International Video Game Development Conference (Helsinki), and more.

With an average rating of 4.81 (on a scale of 1-5), sessions are highly valued.

The speaker engagement request form is
here.

Thought Leadership and Influence

Prominent businesses, professional associations, government agencies, and universities have showcased Graffius and his contributions—spanning his books, talks, workshops, and beyond. Select examples include:

  • Adobe,
  • American Management Association,
  • Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute,
  • Bayer,
  • BMC Software,
  • Boston University,
  • Broadcom,
  • Cisco,
  • Coburg University of Applied Sciences and Arts - Germany,
  • Computer Weekly,
  • Constructor University - Germany,
  • Data Governance Success,
  • Deimos Aerospace,
  • DevOps Institute,
  • Dropbox,
  • EU's European Commission,
  • Ford Motor Company,
  • Gartner,
  • GoDaddy,
  • Harvard Medical School,
  • Hasso Plattner Institute - Germany,
  • IEEE,
  • Innovation Project Management,
  • Johns Hopkins University,
  • Journal of Neurosurgery,
  • Lam Research (Semiconductors),
  • Leadership Worthy,
  • Life Sciences Trainers and Educators Network,
  • London South Bank University,
  • Microsoft,
  • MSN,
  • NASSCOM,
  • National Academy of Sciences,
  • New Zealand Government,
  • Oracle,
  • Pinterest Inc.,
  • Project Management Institute,
  • Mary Raum (Professor of National Security Affairs, United States Naval War College),
  • SANS Institute,
  • SBG Neumark - Germany,
  • Singapore Institute of Technology,
  • Torrens University - Australia,
  • TBS Switzerland,
  • Tufts University,
  • UC San Diego,
  • UK Sports Institute,
  • University of Galway - Ireland,
  • US Department of Energy,
  • US National Park Service,
  • US Soccer,
  • US Tennis Association,
  • Verizon,
  • Wrike,
  • Yale University,
  • and many others.

Graffius has played a key role in the Project Management Institute (PMI) in developing professional standards. He was a member of multiple teams that authored, reviewed, and produced:

  • The Standard for Artificial Intelligence in Portfolio, Program, and Project Management
  • Agile Practice Guide – Second Edition
  • A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide) – Eighth Edition
  • A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK Guide) – Sixth Edition
  • The Standard for Program Management – Fourth Edition
  • Practice Standard for Work Breakdown Structures – Second Edition
  • The Practice Standard for Project Estimating – Second Edition

He was also a subject matter expert reviewer of content for the PMI’s Congress. Beyond the PMI, Graffius also served as a member of the review team for two of the Scrum Alliance’s Global Scrum Gatherings.

Acclaimed Authority on Teamwork Tradecraft

Scott-M-Graffius-Phases-Of-Team-Development-2026-Update-v26010307G2-jpg-lwres

Graffius is a renowned authority on teamwork tradecraft. Informed by the research of Bruce W. Tuckman and Mary Ann C. Jensen, over 150 subsequent studies, and Graffius' first-hand professional experience with, and analysis of, team leadership and performance, Graffius created his "Phases of Team Development" intellectual property as a unique perspective and visual conveying the five phases of team development. First introduced in 2008 and periodically updated, his work provides a diagnostic and strategic guide for navigating team dynamics. It provides actionable insights for leaders across industries to develop high-performance teams. Its adoption by esteemed organizations such as Yale University, IEEE, Cisco, Microsoft, Ford, Oracle, Broadcom, the U.S. National Park Service, and the Journal of Neurosurgery, among others, highlights its utility and value, solidifying its status as an indispensable resource for elevating team performance and driving organizational excellence. In 2026, Graffius added human-AI teamwork—including the "exotic team dynamics" which emerge when advanced AI collaborates as a teammate—to his "Phases of Team Development."

The 2026 edition of Graffius' "Phases of Team Development" intellectual property is here.

Expert on Temporal Dynamics on Social Media Platforms

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Graffius is also an authority on temporal dynamics on social media platforms. His "Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts" research—first published in 2018 and updated annually—delivers a precise quantitative analysis of post longevity across digital platforms, utilizing advanced statistical techniques to determine mean half-life with precision. It establishes a solid empirical base, effectively highlighting the ephemeral nature of content within social media ecosystems. Referenced and applied by leading entities—such as Fast Company, GoDaddy,
Journal of Hand Surgery (European Volume), Ministère de la Culture (French Ministry of Culture), Pinterest Inc., PNAS, and Telecommunications Policy, among others—his research exemplifies methodological rigor and sustained significance in the field of digital informatics.

The 2026 edition of Graffius "Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts" research is here.

Education and Professional Certifications

Graffius has a bachelor’s degree in psychology with a focus in Human Factors. He holds eight professional certifications:

  • Certified SAFe 6 Agilist (SA),
  • Certified Scrum Professional - ScrumMaster (CSP-SM),
  • Certified Scrum Professional - Product Owner (CSP-PO),
  • Certified ScrumMaster (CSM),
  • Certified Scrum Product Owner (CSPO),
  • Project Management Professional (PMP),
  • Lean Six Sigma Green Belt (LSSGB), and
  • IT Service Management Foundation (ITIL).

He is an active member of the Scrum Alliance, the Project Management Institute (PMI), and the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).

Advancing AI, Agile, and Project/PMO Management

Scott M. Graffius continues to advance the fields of AI, Agile, and Project/PMO Management through his leadership, research, writing, and real-world impact. Businesses and other organizations leverage Graffius’ insights to drive their success.

Discover Scott’s Books


Connect with and follow Scott on LinkedIn, X, YouTube, Facebook, Threads, Bluesky, Mastodon, and ResearchGate.




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How to Cite This Article



Graffius, S. M. (2026, July 17). A Critical Analysis of "Platform-Specific Data Decay Patterns: A Comparative Study of Twitter, Reddit, and TikTok" and Its Reference to Research by Scott M. Graffius. ScottGraffius.com.
https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/critical-analysis-of-paper-on-data-decay-patterns.html




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Content Acknowledgements



Names, marks, and content are the property of their respective owners.

Akhmed Kaleel, Abdulkrim Ziani, Salma Abdullah Mohamed Saeed Alkaabi, and Beena Khalid Alhajri are the authors of the paper, "Platform-Specific Data Decay Patterns: A Comparative Study of Twitter, Reddit, and TikTok," published in
MEDAAD, a journal associated with Peninsula Publishing. The paper is the property of its authors/owners. That paper cites Scott M. Graffius' "Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts" research.

This article includes limited excerpts from the paper, attributed and used under fair use doctrine for purposes of news reporting, commentary, and analysis.

Graffius' "Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts" is copyright © Scott M. Graffius. All rights reserved.




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  • Content Moderation
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  • Scott M. Graffius
  • Social Media Platforms
  • Social Media Research
  • Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts

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