Generative AI, Next Generation AI, Cybersecurity, Misinformation, and Remote Healthcare including Monitoring Sensors
Top Predictions of 2024, Tested in 2025
06 September 2025
BY SCOTT M. GRAFFIUS | ScottGraffius.com
Introduction
How well can experts predict the future of technology in a rapidly innovating world? The IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024, released in February 2024, offered insights into emerging trends. Scott M. Graffius shared the report’s top five predictions on social media and, one year later, posted follow-up comments evaluating their accuracy. This article revisits and provides a deeper dive on those predictions—Generative AI Applications, Next-Generation AI, Advances in Cybersecurity, Managing Misinformation, and Remote Healthcare/Monitoring Sensors—to assess how they held up. This evaluation:
This article evaluates the IEEE Computer Society report’s foresight and practical value for researchers, practitioners, and policymakers in a rigorous yet accessible way.
See the bibliography section of this article for sources.
Prediction 1: Generative AI Applications
Excerpt from IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024:
"Generative AI use will increase with rapidly expanding efficiency and new applications and services both beneficial and detrimental. Ethical and societal issues will continue to rise. Expect strong short-term impacts on business, education and society."
Excerpt from Graffius’ 2025 Post with an Abridged Assessment of the Prediction:
"With 71%+ of organizations employing generative AI, use is widespread. But there are significant ethical and societal issues."
Expanded Assessment:
The IEEE’s prediction about generative AI was remarkably accurate. By 2025, generative AI has become deeply woven into daily professional and personal life. In business, organizations deploy generative AI for customer service, coding assistance, marketing content, and product design. In education, AI tools are utilized for tutoring, research support, and accessibility, while simultaneously sparking debates over plagiarism, learning outcomes, and the integrity of assessments.
Societally, generative AI is a double-edged sword: it drives productivity and creativity but also raises ethical concerns. Bias in outputs, the spread of misinformation through AI-generated text and media, and the challenge of “AI hallucinations” have become widely recognized issues. Regulatory efforts—such as the European Union’s AI Act—reflect the urgency of addressing these concerns.
In short, the IEEE foresaw both the opportunities and the challenges of generative AI.
This prediction earns a ‘Hit’ for its accuracy.
Prediction 2: Next Generation AI
Excerpt from IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024:
"The evolving advancements and developments in the field of artificial intelligence that push the boundaries beyond current capabilities. It is the next generation of Artificial Intelligence (AI) that is expected to be more advanced and sophisticated than the current AI systems."
Excerpt from Graffius’ 2025 Post with an Abridged Assessment of the Prediction:
"Advancements such as more sophisticated LLMs and multimodal systems pushed beyond previous capabilities with broader adoption and impact."
Expanded Assessment:
The IEEE’s forecast of “next generation AI” anticipated that new models would surpass the systems available in 2024. In hindsight, that framing was well-judged. Over the past year, breakthroughs have centered on three areas:
Although the field is still at an early stage, these trends clearly move AI “beyond current capabilities,” as the IEEE predicted. The term “next generation” fits: these are not incremental tweaks but foundational shifts in how AI is conceived and applied.
This prediction earns a ‘Hit’ for its accuracy.
Prediction 3: Advances in Cybersecurity
Excerpt from IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024:
"Advances in Cybersecurity will enhance public confidence and will enable reliance on the cyber infrastructure for large scale applications including energy production and distribution."
Excerpt from Graffius’ 2025 Post with an Abridged Assessment of the Prediction:
"AI-driven threat detection has bolstered trust and supported critical applications. But rising ransomware and phishing attacks persist."
Expanded Assessment:
The prediction that cybersecurity would advance significantly—particularly in ways that bolster public confidence—has proven largely accurate. In 2025, three developments stand out:
Cybersecurity remains a dynamic challenge. Ransomware groups, state-sponsored attacks, and vulnerabilities in emerging technologies continue to pose serious risks. However, the IEEE was correct that the net effect of recent advancements has been to increase trust in cyber infrastructure, particularly for large-scale applications.
This prediction earns a ‘Hit’ for its accuracy.
Prediction 4: Managing Misinformation
Excerpt from IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024:
"AI deepfakes (text, audio, visual) will become regular tools that will require careful management."
Excerpt from Graffius’ 2025 Post with an Abridged Assessment of the Prediction:
"AI-driven deepfakes and misinformation escalated, spreading across digital platforms and demanding robust countermeasures throughout."
Expanded Assessment:
The IEEE’s prediction was prescient. In 2024 and 2025, AI-generated misinformation—especially deepfakes—became a defining feature of political communication. During election cycles around the globe, fabricated audio of candidates, manipulated images, and synthetic videos circulated widely across social media. These were used not only for disinformation campaigns but also for satire, further blurring the line between parody and deception.
In response, platforms have taken steps to introduce AI-content labeling and watermarking mechanisms, but these measures remain inconsistent and easily circumvented. Governments have likewise begun exploring regulatory frameworks: for instance, the European Union and the United States both advanced proposals targeting transparency and accountability for synthetic media. Still, implementation lags behind the speed of innovation.
The prediction’s emphasis on “careful management” captures the current state well. Managing misinformation is less about eliminating deepfakes—an unlikely outcome—and more about mitigating their societal impact through education, detection tools, and policy interventions.
This prediction earns a ‘Hit’ for its accuracy.
Prediction 5: Remote Healthcare/Monitoring Sensors
Excerpt from IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024:
"Remote Healthcare, monitoring sensors and system-level data integration will enable patients to obtain remote medical assistance, physicians to improve diagnosis and treatment, optimal utilization of individuals’ medical history, and efficient health care delivery protocols."
Excerpt from Graffius’ 2025 Post with an Abridged Assessment of the Prediction:
"Telehealth surged. Wearables advanced monitoring. Data integration improved diagnosis. Full medical history use, etc. still progressing."
Expanded Assessment:
The IEEE correctly anticipated the continued rise of remote healthcare and monitoring technologies. Since 2024, wearable devices—from smartwatches tracking vital signs to medical-grade biosensors—have seen broader adoption. Healthcare providers increasingly integrate these data streams into patient records, enabling more personalized and proactive care. Similarly, telemedicine platforms have matured, offering virtual consultations, chronic disease management, and remote monitoring that reduce the need for in-person visits.
However, progress has been uneven. Integration across healthcare systems remains fragmented, with interoperability challenges slowing widespread adoption. Privacy and security concerns also loom large, as sensitive health data transmitted across networks remains an attractive target for cyberattacks. Moreover, issues of equity and access persist: while urban and affluent populations benefit from connected health solutions, rural and underserved communities often face barriers such as limited internet connectivity, lack of insurance coverage, or prohibitive device costs.
Overall, the IEEE’s forecast captured the direction of change but overstated the universality of its impact. Remote healthcare has advanced, but the promise of widespread, efficient system-level integration is not yet fully realized.
This prediction earns a ‘Partial Hit’ for its accuracy.
Conclusion
The IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024 demonstrated remarkable foresight. Across five key areas—Generative AI Applications, Next-Generation AI, Advances in Cybersecurity, Managing Misinformation, and Remote Healthcare/Monitoring Sensors—the predictions were largely validated by subsequent developments.
Generative AI and Next-Generation AI delivered rapid, transformative progress, reshaping business, education, and society as anticipated. Cybersecurity advancements bolstered trust in critical infrastructure despite ongoing threats. The rise of AI-generated misinformation underscored the need for careful management, as predicted. Remote healthcare and monitoring sensors progressed significantly, though challenges resulted in a partial hit.
These outcomes highlight the value of thoughtful technology forecasting. Predictions are not certainties but provide a framework for understanding trends, preparing organizations, and guiding policy and research. The IEEE report shows how informed projections can help society navigate opportunities and challenges, even as the pace of technological change remains uneven and complex.
In sum, revisiting these predictions a year later offers both affirmation and insight. The IEEE Computer Society’s 2024 report largely hit its mark, underscoring the need for continued vigilance and evaluation. As technology evolves, such analyses will remain critical for shaping innovation, informing policy, and ensuring equitable outcomes in an increasingly connected world.
About the IEEE
The following is an excerpt from the IEEE (here).
IEEE is the world’s largest technical professional organization and is a public charity dedicated to advancing technology for the benefit of humanity. Through its highly cited publications, conferences, technology standards, and professional and educational activities, IEEE is the trusted voice on a wide variety of areas ranging from aerospace systems, computers and telecommunications to biomedical engineering, electric power and consumer electronics. Learn more at https://www.ieee.org.
About the IEEE Computer Society
The following is an excerpt from the IEEE Computer Society (here).
Engaging computer engineers, scientists, academia, and industry professionals from all areas and levels of computing, the IEEE Computer Society (CS) serves as the world’s largest and most established professional organization of its type. IEEE CS sets the standard for the education and engagement that fuels continued global technological advancement. Through conferences, publications, and programs that inspire dialogue, debate, and collaboration, IEEE CS empowers, shapes, and guides the future of not only its 375,000+ community members, but the greater industry, enabling new opportunities to better serve our world. Visit https://computer.org for more information.
Bibliography
Here's the select bibliography for this article. It features several of Graffius' articles, as they address related topics.
Bhattacharya, P., Mukherjee, A., Bhushan, B., Gupta, S. K., Gadekallu, T. R., & Zhu, Z. (2025, July 2). A Secured Remote Patient Monitoring Framework for IoMT Ecosystems. Scientific Reports, 15 (1): 22882. Available at: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-04774-y.
Brown, Sara (2025, June 2). Machine Learning and Generative AI: What Are They Good For in 2025? MIT Sloan Management Review. Available at: https://mitsloan.mit.edu/ideas-made-to-matter/machine-learning-and-generative-ai-what-are-they-good-for.
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) (2024, September 27). Teaching AI What It Should and Shouldn’t Do. Available at: https://www.darpa.mil/news/2024/teaching-ai.
Dragos (2025). 2025 OT Cybersecurity Report: 8th Annual Year in Review. Dragos. Available at: https://www.dragos.com/ot-cybersecurity-year-in-review/.
Graffius, Scott M. (2024, September 26). How Algorithms Shape the User Experience on Social Media Platforms. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/algorithms-and-the-user-experience.html. DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.29149.01767.
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, June 2). Meta and Anduril’s EagleEye and the Future of XR: How Gaming, AI, and Agile Are Transforming Defense. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/meta-and-anduril-eagleeye-and-the-future-of-xr-how-gaming-ai-and-agile-are-transforming-defense.html.
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, July 18). Harness Sci-Fi and Speculative Design While Embracing Imperfection to Drive Innovation and Proactively Predict and Prepare for the Future. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/harness-scifi-and-speculative-design-while-embracing-imperfection-to-drive-innovation-and-proactively-predict-and-prepare-for-the-future.html.
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, August 8). Exotic Team Dynamics: The New Frontier of Human–AI Collaboration. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/exotic-team-dynamics.html.
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, August 18). AI Institute of Switzerland Features Scott M. Graffius’ Work on Algorithms. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/ai-institute-features-work-of-scott-m-graffius.html.
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, August 22). Scott M. Graffius Premieres His New "Exotic Team Dynamics: Human-AI Collaboration" Talk at Corporate Event in Las Vegas. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/scott-m-graffius-premieres-talk-on-human-and-ai-exotic-team-dynamics.html.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2024, February 15). 🔮 Top 5 Technology Predictions for 2024 🔮 #IEEE is the world's largest technical professional organization dedicated to advancing #technology for the benefit of humanity, and I'm proud to be a member. The IEEE's Computer Society released #predictions for 2024. First on the top five list is Generative AI Applications. Here's an excerpt from the report: “Generative AI use will increase with rapidly expanding efficiency and new applications and services both beneficial and detrimental. Ethical and societal issues will continue to rise. Expect strong short-term impacts on business, education, and society.” Other predictions from the top five list are highlighted in separate Tweets. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1758178136137826491.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2024, February 15). 🔮 Top 5 Technology Predictions for 2024 🔮 #IEEE is the world's largest technical professional organization dedicated to advancing #technology for the benefit of humanity, and I'm proud to be a member. The IEEE's Computer Society released #predictions for 2024. Second on the top five list is Next Generation AI. Here's an excerpt from the report: “The evolving advancements and developments in the field of artificial intelligence that push the boundaries beyond current capabilities. It is the next generation of Artificial Intelligence (AI) that is expected to be more advanced and sophisticated than the current AI systems.” Other predictions from the top five list are highlighted in separate Tweets. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1758205743969550376.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2024, February 15). 🔮 Top 5 Technology Predictions for 2024 🔮 IEEE is the world's largest technical professional organization dedicated to advancing technology for the benefit of humanity, and I'm proud to be a member. The IEEE's Computer Society released predictions for 2024. Third on the top five list is Advances in Cybersecurity. Here's an excerpt from the report: “Advances in Cybersecurity will enhance public confidence and will enable reliance on the cyber infrastructure for large scale applications including energy production and distribution.” Other predictions from the top five list are highlighted in separate Tweets. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1758218228399325458.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2024, February 15). 🔮 Top 5 Technology Predictions for 2024 🔮 #IEEE is the world's largest technical professional organization dedicated to advancing #technology for the benefit of humanity, and I'm proud to be a member. The IEEE's Computer Society released #predictions for 2024. Fourth on the top five list is Managing Misinformation. Here's an excerpt from the report: “AI deepfakes (text, audio, and visual) will become a regular electioneering tool that will require careful management.” Other predictions from the top five list are highlighted in separate Tweets. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1758225882278416535.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2024, February 15). 🔮 Top 5 Technology Predictions for 2024 🔮 #IEEE is the world's largest technical professional organization dedicated to advancing #technology for the benefit of humanity, and I'm proud to be a member. The IEEE's Computer Society released #predictions for 2024. Fifth on the top five list is Remote Healthcare/Monitoring Sensors. Here's an excerpt from the report: “Remote healthcare, monitoring sensors, and system-level data integration will enable patients to obtain remote medical assistance, physicians to improve diagnosis and treatment, optimal utilization of individuals’ medical history, and efficient health care delivery protocols.” Other predictions from the top five list are highlighted in separate Tweets. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1758309611315294543.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2025, August 2). Predictions Follow-up. #IEEE #ComputerSociety's top #predictions from a year ago included #RemoteHealthcare (see below)? 🎯 Hit or miss? Hit. Telehealth surged. Wearables advanced monitoring. Data integration improved diagnosis. Full medical history use, etc. still progressing. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1951824321334419750.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2025, August 2). Predictions Follow-up. #IEEE #ComputerSociety's top #predictions from a year ago included #Misinformation (see below). 🎯 Hit or miss? Hit. AI-driven deepfakes and misinformation escalated, spreading across digital platforms and demanding robust countermeasures throughout. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1951864035630276964.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2025, August 4). Predictions Follow-up. #IEEE #ComputerSociety's top #predictions from a year ago included Next Gen #AI (see below). 🎯 Hit or miss? Hit. Advancements such as more sophisticated LLMs and multimodal systems pushed beyond previous capabilities with broader adoption and impact. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1952427998839476336.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2025, August 6). Predictions Follow-up. #IEEE #ComputerSociety's top #predictions from a year ago included #Cybersecurity (see below). 🎯 Hit or miss? Hit. AI-driven threat detection has bolstered trust and supported critical applications. But rising ransomware and phishing attacks persist. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1953132783980954002.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2025, August 6). Predictions Follow-up. #IEEE #ComputerSociety's top #predictions from a year ago included #GenerativeAI (see below). 🎯 Hit or miss? Hit. With 71%+ of organizations employing generative AI, use is widespread. But there are significant ethical and societal issues. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1953203709602943194.
Hahn, M., Zeng, W., Kannen, N., Galt, R., Badola, K., Kim, B., & Wang, Z. (2025, May 1). Proactive Agents for Multi-Turn Text-to-Image Generation Under Uncertainty. In Proceedings of International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML) 2025. Google DeepMind. Available at: https://deepmind.google/research/publications/121578/.
IEEE Computer Society (2024, February 15). Technology Predictions Report 2024. IEEE Computer Society. IEEE Computer Society. Available at: https://ieeecs-media.computer.org/media/tech-news/tech-predictions-report-2024.pdf.
Khandabattu, H. (2025, July 8). The 2025 Hype Cycle for Artificial Intelligence Goes Beyond GenAI. Gartner. Available at: https://www.gartner.com/en/articles/hype-cycle-for-artificial-intelligence.
Le Poldevin, Olivia (2025, July 11). UN Report Urges Stronger Measures to Detect AI-Driven Deepfakes. Reuters. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/business/un-report-urges-stronger-measures-detect-ai-driven-deepfakes-2025-07-11/.
Lopez, C. T. (2025, June 18). DARPA Calls on Industry to Assist with Improving, Strengthening DOD Cybersecurity. U.S. Department of Defense. Available at: https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/4220945/darpa-calls-on-industry-to-assist-with-improving-strengthening-dod-cybersecurity/.
Marr, B. (2024, December 16). 6 Game-Changing AI Breakthroughs That Defined 2024. Forbes. Available at: https://www.forbes.com/sites/bernardmarr/2024/12/16/6-game-changing-ai-breakthroughs-that-defined-2024/.
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Morley, Colleen (2025, January 1). From Vital Signs to Virtual Care: The Evolution of Remote Patient Monitoring in Modern Healthcare. HealthTech. Available at: https://www.healthtechmagazines.com/from-vital-signs-to-virtual-care-the-evolution-of-remote-patient-monitoring-in-modern-healthcare/.
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (2025). The Effects of Generative AI on Productivity, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship. OECD. Available at: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/the-effects-of-generative-ai-on-productivity-innovation-and-entrepreneurship_b21df222-en.html.
Patishman, Henry (2025, August 12). AI and Deepfake Laws of 2025. Regula Forensics. Available at: https://regulaforensics.com/blog/deepfake-regulations/.
Sandalow, Maya, & Harris, Julia (2025, January 9). Maximizing the Value of Remote Patient Monitoring. Bipartisan Policy Center. Available at: https://bipartisanpolicy.org/explainer/maximizing-the-value-of-remote-patient-monitoring/.
Stanford Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI) (2025). The 2025 AI Index Report. Stanford HAI. Available at: https://hai.stanford.edu/ai-index/2025-ai-index-report.
Sweeney, Erica (2025, July 23). Cedars-Sinai's AI Tool Delivered 24/7 Care to 42,000 Patients. Business Insider. Available at: https://www.businessinsider.com/cedars-sinai-la-healthcare-organization-ai-platform-patient-care-treatment-2025-7.
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White, Monica J. (2025, August 31). AI Impersonation Scams are Sky-Rocketing in 2025, Security Experts Warn - Here's How to Stay Safe. TechRadar. Available at: https://www.techradar.com/computing/cyber-security/ai-impersonation-scams-are-sky-rocketing-in-2025-security-experts-warn-heres-how-to-stay-safe.
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About Scott M. Graffius
Scott M. Graffius is a globally recognized technology leader who drives innovation in AI, Agile, and Project Management/PMO leadership.
He’s a practitioner, researcher, thought leader, award-winning author, and keynote speaker who’s taken the stage at 95 conferences and other events across 25 countries.
He’s delivered over $2.3 billion in value for Fortune 500 companies and other leaders in technology, entertainment, financial services, healthcare, and beyond.
Businesses, professional associations, government agencies, and universities use Graffius and feature his work. Examples include Adobe, Bayer, Boston University, Ford, Gartner, Harvard Medical School, IEEE, Johns Hopkins University, Microsoft, National Academy of Sciences, Oracle, Pinterest Inc., Project Management Institute, UC San Diego, Verizon, Yale University, and others.
The following sections provide additional information on his experience, contributions, and influence.
Experience
Graffius heads the professional services firm Exceptional PPM and PMO Solutions, along with its subsidiary Exceptional Agility. These consultancies offer strategic and tactical advisory, training, embedded expertise, and consulting services to the public, private, and government sectors. They help organizations enhance their capabilities and results in agile, project management, program management, portfolio management, and PMO leadership, supporting innovation and driving competitive advantage. The consultancies confidently back services with a Delighted Client Guarantee™.
Graffius is a former VP of project management with a publicly traded provider of diverse consumer products and services over the Internet. Before that, he ran and supervised the delivery of projects and programs in public and private organizations with businesses ranging from e-commerce to advanced technology products and services, retail, manufacturing, entertainment, and more.
He has experience with consumer, business, reseller, government, and international markets.
Award-Winning Author
Graffius has authored three books.
International Public Speaker
Organizations worldwide engage Graffius to present on tech (including AI), Agile, project management, program management, portfolio management, and PMO leadership. He crafts and delivers unique and compelling talks and workshops. Graffius has conducted 95 sessions across 25 countries. Select examples of events include Agile Trends Gov, BSides (Newcastle Upon Tyne), Conf42 Quantum Computing, DevDays Europe, DevOps Institute, DevOpsDays (Geneva), Frug’Agile, IEEE, Microsoft, Scottish Summit, Scrum Alliance RSG (Nepal), Techstars, and W Love Games International Video Game Development Conference (Helsinki), and more.
With an average rating of 4.81 (on a scale of 1-5), sessions are highly valued.
The speaker engagement request form is here.
Thought Leadership and Influence
Prominent businesses, professional associations, government agencies, and universities have showcased Graffius and his contributions—spanning his books, talks, workshops, and beyond. Select examples include:
Graffius has played a key role in the Project Management Institute (PMI) in developing professional standards. He was a member of multiple teams that authored, reviewed, and produced:
Additional details are here.
He was also a subject matter expert reviewer of content for the PMI’s Congress. Beyond the PMI, Graffius also served as a member of the review team for two of the Scrum Alliance’s Global Scrum Gatherings.
Acclaimed Authority on Teamwork Tradecraft
Graffius is a renowned authority on teamwork tradecraft. Informed by the research of Bruce W. Tuckman and Mary Ann C. Jensen, over 100 subsequent studies, and Graffius' first-hand professional experience with, and analysis of, team leadership and performance, Graffius created his 'Phases of Team Development' as a unique perspective and visual conveying the five phases of team development. First introduced in 2008 and periodically updated, his work provides a diagnostic and strategic guide for navigating team dynamics. It provides actionable insights for leaders across industries to develop high-performance teams. Its adoption by esteemed organizations such as Yale University, IEEE, Cisco, Microsoft, Ford, Oracle, Broadcom, the U.S. National Park Service, and the Journal of Neurosurgery, among others, highlights its utility and value, solidifying its status as an indispensable resource for elevating team performance and driving organizational excellence.
The 2025 edition of Graffius' "Phases of Team Development" intellectual property is here.
Expert on Temporal Dynamics on Social Media Platforms
Graffius is also an authority on temporal dynamics on social media platforms. His 'Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts' research—first published in 2018 and updated annually—delivers a precise quantitative analysis of post longevity across digital platforms, utilizing advanced statistical techniques to determine mean half-life with precision. It establishes a solid empirical base, effectively highlighting the ephemeral nature of content within social media ecosystems. Referenced and applied by leading entities such as the Center for Direct Marketing, Fast Company, GoDaddy, Pinterest Inc., and PNAS, among others, his research exemplifies methodological rigor and sustained significance in the field of digital informatics.
The 2025 edition of Graffius "Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts" research is here.
Education and Professional Certifications
Graffius has a bachelor’s degree in psychology with a focus in Human Factors. He holds eight professional certifications:
He is an active member of the Scrum Alliance, the Project Management Institute (PMI), and the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).
Advancing AI, Agile, and Project/PMO Management
Scott M. Graffius continues to advance the fields of AI, Agile, and Project/PMO Management through his leadership, research, writing, and real-world impact. Businesses and other organizations leverage Graffius’ insights to drive their success.
Check out Scott’s books:
Follow and connect with Scott on social media:
Introduction
How well can experts predict the future of technology in a rapidly innovating world? The IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024, released in February 2024, offered insights into emerging trends. Scott M. Graffius shared the report’s top five predictions on social media and, one year later, posted follow-up comments evaluating their accuracy. This article revisits and provides a deeper dive on those predictions—Generative AI Applications, Next-Generation AI, Advances in Cybersecurity, Managing Misinformation, and Remote Healthcare/Monitoring Sensors—to assess how they held up. This evaluation:
- Features brief excerpts from the IEEE Computer Society’s top 5 tech forecasts made in 2024.
- Incorporates content from Graffius’ follow-up posts on social media in 2025.
- Provides an expanded evidence-based analysis, classifying each prediction as a "Hit," "Partial Hit," or "Miss."
This article evaluates the IEEE Computer Society report’s foresight and practical value for researchers, practitioners, and policymakers in a rigorous yet accessible way.
See the bibliography section of this article for sources.
Prediction 1: Generative AI Applications
Excerpt from IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024:
"Generative AI use will increase with rapidly expanding efficiency and new applications and services both beneficial and detrimental. Ethical and societal issues will continue to rise. Expect strong short-term impacts on business, education and society."
Excerpt from Graffius’ 2025 Post with an Abridged Assessment of the Prediction:
"With 71%+ of organizations employing generative AI, use is widespread. But there are significant ethical and societal issues."
Expanded Assessment:
The IEEE’s prediction about generative AI was remarkably accurate. By 2025, generative AI has become deeply woven into daily professional and personal life. In business, organizations deploy generative AI for customer service, coding assistance, marketing content, and product design. In education, AI tools are utilized for tutoring, research support, and accessibility, while simultaneously sparking debates over plagiarism, learning outcomes, and the integrity of assessments.
Societally, generative AI is a double-edged sword: it drives productivity and creativity but also raises ethical concerns. Bias in outputs, the spread of misinformation through AI-generated text and media, and the challenge of “AI hallucinations” have become widely recognized issues. Regulatory efforts—such as the European Union’s AI Act—reflect the urgency of addressing these concerns.
In short, the IEEE foresaw both the opportunities and the challenges of generative AI.
This prediction earns a ‘Hit’ for its accuracy.
Prediction 2: Next Generation AI
Excerpt from IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024:
"The evolving advancements and developments in the field of artificial intelligence that push the boundaries beyond current capabilities. It is the next generation of Artificial Intelligence (AI) that is expected to be more advanced and sophisticated than the current AI systems."
Excerpt from Graffius’ 2025 Post with an Abridged Assessment of the Prediction:
"Advancements such as more sophisticated LLMs and multimodal systems pushed beyond previous capabilities with broader adoption and impact."
Expanded Assessment:
The IEEE’s forecast of “next generation AI” anticipated that new models would surpass the systems available in 2024. In hindsight, that framing was well-judged. Over the past year, breakthroughs have centered on three areas:
- Multi-modality: Models now handle text, images, audio, and video within unified frameworks, enabling richer interaction and broader application.
- Agentic systems: AI is increasingly deployed as autonomous or semi-autonomous “agents” capable of reasoning, planning, and executing tasks across digital environments with minimal human intervention.
- Efficiency and scaling: Advances in model compression, specialized hardware, and algorithmic design have improved performance while reducing energy demands and latency.
Although the field is still at an early stage, these trends clearly move AI “beyond current capabilities,” as the IEEE predicted. The term “next generation” fits: these are not incremental tweaks but foundational shifts in how AI is conceived and applied.
This prediction earns a ‘Hit’ for its accuracy.
Prediction 3: Advances in Cybersecurity
Excerpt from IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024:
"Advances in Cybersecurity will enhance public confidence and will enable reliance on the cyber infrastructure for large scale applications including energy production and distribution."
Excerpt from Graffius’ 2025 Post with an Abridged Assessment of the Prediction:
"AI-driven threat detection has bolstered trust and supported critical applications. But rising ransomware and phishing attacks persist."
Expanded Assessment:
The prediction that cybersecurity would advance significantly—particularly in ways that bolster public confidence—has proven largely accurate. In 2025, three developments stand out:
- AI-driven defenses: Security platforms increasingly integrate machine learning to detect anomalies, identify threats in real time, and automate responses. This has improved resilience against phishing, ransomware, and supply chain attacks.
- Zero-trust architectures: Organizations have accelerated adoption of zero-trust principles, ensuring that no user or device is inherently trusted. This shift has been critical in protecting remote and hybrid workforces.
- Critical infrastructure protection: Governments and private sector stakeholders have prioritized safeguarding energy grids, healthcare systems, and financial networks. Initiatives in North America, Europe, and Asia have strengthened baseline defenses for these vital systems.
Cybersecurity remains a dynamic challenge. Ransomware groups, state-sponsored attacks, and vulnerabilities in emerging technologies continue to pose serious risks. However, the IEEE was correct that the net effect of recent advancements has been to increase trust in cyber infrastructure, particularly for large-scale applications.
This prediction earns a ‘Hit’ for its accuracy.
Prediction 4: Managing Misinformation
Excerpt from IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024:
"AI deepfakes (text, audio, visual) will become regular tools that will require careful management."
Excerpt from Graffius’ 2025 Post with an Abridged Assessment of the Prediction:
"AI-driven deepfakes and misinformation escalated, spreading across digital platforms and demanding robust countermeasures throughout."
Expanded Assessment:
The IEEE’s prediction was prescient. In 2024 and 2025, AI-generated misinformation—especially deepfakes—became a defining feature of political communication. During election cycles around the globe, fabricated audio of candidates, manipulated images, and synthetic videos circulated widely across social media. These were used not only for disinformation campaigns but also for satire, further blurring the line between parody and deception.
In response, platforms have taken steps to introduce AI-content labeling and watermarking mechanisms, but these measures remain inconsistent and easily circumvented. Governments have likewise begun exploring regulatory frameworks: for instance, the European Union and the United States both advanced proposals targeting transparency and accountability for synthetic media. Still, implementation lags behind the speed of innovation.
The prediction’s emphasis on “careful management” captures the current state well. Managing misinformation is less about eliminating deepfakes—an unlikely outcome—and more about mitigating their societal impact through education, detection tools, and policy interventions.
This prediction earns a ‘Hit’ for its accuracy.
Prediction 5: Remote Healthcare/Monitoring Sensors
Excerpt from IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024:
"Remote Healthcare, monitoring sensors and system-level data integration will enable patients to obtain remote medical assistance, physicians to improve diagnosis and treatment, optimal utilization of individuals’ medical history, and efficient health care delivery protocols."
Excerpt from Graffius’ 2025 Post with an Abridged Assessment of the Prediction:
"Telehealth surged. Wearables advanced monitoring. Data integration improved diagnosis. Full medical history use, etc. still progressing."
Expanded Assessment:
The IEEE correctly anticipated the continued rise of remote healthcare and monitoring technologies. Since 2024, wearable devices—from smartwatches tracking vital signs to medical-grade biosensors—have seen broader adoption. Healthcare providers increasingly integrate these data streams into patient records, enabling more personalized and proactive care. Similarly, telemedicine platforms have matured, offering virtual consultations, chronic disease management, and remote monitoring that reduce the need for in-person visits.
However, progress has been uneven. Integration across healthcare systems remains fragmented, with interoperability challenges slowing widespread adoption. Privacy and security concerns also loom large, as sensitive health data transmitted across networks remains an attractive target for cyberattacks. Moreover, issues of equity and access persist: while urban and affluent populations benefit from connected health solutions, rural and underserved communities often face barriers such as limited internet connectivity, lack of insurance coverage, or prohibitive device costs.
Overall, the IEEE’s forecast captured the direction of change but overstated the universality of its impact. Remote healthcare has advanced, but the promise of widespread, efficient system-level integration is not yet fully realized.
This prediction earns a ‘Partial Hit’ for its accuracy.
Conclusion
The IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024 demonstrated remarkable foresight. Across five key areas—Generative AI Applications, Next-Generation AI, Advances in Cybersecurity, Managing Misinformation, and Remote Healthcare/Monitoring Sensors—the predictions were largely validated by subsequent developments.
Generative AI and Next-Generation AI delivered rapid, transformative progress, reshaping business, education, and society as anticipated. Cybersecurity advancements bolstered trust in critical infrastructure despite ongoing threats. The rise of AI-generated misinformation underscored the need for careful management, as predicted. Remote healthcare and monitoring sensors progressed significantly, though challenges resulted in a partial hit.
These outcomes highlight the value of thoughtful technology forecasting. Predictions are not certainties but provide a framework for understanding trends, preparing organizations, and guiding policy and research. The IEEE report shows how informed projections can help society navigate opportunities and challenges, even as the pace of technological change remains uneven and complex.
In sum, revisiting these predictions a year later offers both affirmation and insight. The IEEE Computer Society’s 2024 report largely hit its mark, underscoring the need for continued vigilance and evaluation. As technology evolves, such analyses will remain critical for shaping innovation, informing policy, and ensuring equitable outcomes in an increasingly connected world.
About the IEEE
The following is an excerpt from the IEEE (here).
IEEE is the world’s largest technical professional organization and is a public charity dedicated to advancing technology for the benefit of humanity. Through its highly cited publications, conferences, technology standards, and professional and educational activities, IEEE is the trusted voice on a wide variety of areas ranging from aerospace systems, computers and telecommunications to biomedical engineering, electric power and consumer electronics. Learn more at https://www.ieee.org.
About the IEEE Computer Society
The following is an excerpt from the IEEE Computer Society (here).
Engaging computer engineers, scientists, academia, and industry professionals from all areas and levels of computing, the IEEE Computer Society (CS) serves as the world’s largest and most established professional organization of its type. IEEE CS sets the standard for the education and engagement that fuels continued global technological advancement. Through conferences, publications, and programs that inspire dialogue, debate, and collaboration, IEEE CS empowers, shapes, and guides the future of not only its 375,000+ community members, but the greater industry, enabling new opportunities to better serve our world. Visit https://computer.org for more information.
Bibliography
Here's the select bibliography for this article. It features several of Graffius' articles, as they address related topics.
Bhattacharya, P., Mukherjee, A., Bhushan, B., Gupta, S. K., Gadekallu, T. R., & Zhu, Z. (2025, July 2). A Secured Remote Patient Monitoring Framework for IoMT Ecosystems. Scientific Reports, 15 (1): 22882. Available at: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-04774-y.
Brown, Sara (2025, June 2). Machine Learning and Generative AI: What Are They Good For in 2025? MIT Sloan Management Review. Available at: https://mitsloan.mit.edu/ideas-made-to-matter/machine-learning-and-generative-ai-what-are-they-good-for.
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) (2024, September 27). Teaching AI What It Should and Shouldn’t Do. Available at: https://www.darpa.mil/news/2024/teaching-ai.
Dragos (2025). 2025 OT Cybersecurity Report: 8th Annual Year in Review. Dragos. Available at: https://www.dragos.com/ot-cybersecurity-year-in-review/.
Graffius, Scott M. (2024, September 26). How Algorithms Shape the User Experience on Social Media Platforms. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/algorithms-and-the-user-experience.html. DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.2.29149.01767.
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, June 2). Meta and Anduril’s EagleEye and the Future of XR: How Gaming, AI, and Agile Are Transforming Defense. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/meta-and-anduril-eagleeye-and-the-future-of-xr-how-gaming-ai-and-agile-are-transforming-defense.html.
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, July 18). Harness Sci-Fi and Speculative Design While Embracing Imperfection to Drive Innovation and Proactively Predict and Prepare for the Future. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/harness-scifi-and-speculative-design-while-embracing-imperfection-to-drive-innovation-and-proactively-predict-and-prepare-for-the-future.html.
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, August 8). Exotic Team Dynamics: The New Frontier of Human–AI Collaboration. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/exotic-team-dynamics.html.
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, August 18). AI Institute of Switzerland Features Scott M. Graffius’ Work on Algorithms. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/ai-institute-features-work-of-scott-m-graffius.html.
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, August 22). Scott M. Graffius Premieres His New "Exotic Team Dynamics: Human-AI Collaboration" Talk at Corporate Event in Las Vegas. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/scott-m-graffius-premieres-talk-on-human-and-ai-exotic-team-dynamics.html.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2024, February 15). 🔮 Top 5 Technology Predictions for 2024 🔮 #IEEE is the world's largest technical professional organization dedicated to advancing #technology for the benefit of humanity, and I'm proud to be a member. The IEEE's Computer Society released #predictions for 2024. First on the top five list is Generative AI Applications. Here's an excerpt from the report: “Generative AI use will increase with rapidly expanding efficiency and new applications and services both beneficial and detrimental. Ethical and societal issues will continue to rise. Expect strong short-term impacts on business, education, and society.” Other predictions from the top five list are highlighted in separate Tweets. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1758178136137826491.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2024, February 15). 🔮 Top 5 Technology Predictions for 2024 🔮 #IEEE is the world's largest technical professional organization dedicated to advancing #technology for the benefit of humanity, and I'm proud to be a member. The IEEE's Computer Society released #predictions for 2024. Second on the top five list is Next Generation AI. Here's an excerpt from the report: “The evolving advancements and developments in the field of artificial intelligence that push the boundaries beyond current capabilities. It is the next generation of Artificial Intelligence (AI) that is expected to be more advanced and sophisticated than the current AI systems.” Other predictions from the top five list are highlighted in separate Tweets. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1758205743969550376.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2024, February 15). 🔮 Top 5 Technology Predictions for 2024 🔮 IEEE is the world's largest technical professional organization dedicated to advancing technology for the benefit of humanity, and I'm proud to be a member. The IEEE's Computer Society released predictions for 2024. Third on the top five list is Advances in Cybersecurity. Here's an excerpt from the report: “Advances in Cybersecurity will enhance public confidence and will enable reliance on the cyber infrastructure for large scale applications including energy production and distribution.” Other predictions from the top five list are highlighted in separate Tweets. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1758218228399325458.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2024, February 15). 🔮 Top 5 Technology Predictions for 2024 🔮 #IEEE is the world's largest technical professional organization dedicated to advancing #technology for the benefit of humanity, and I'm proud to be a member. The IEEE's Computer Society released #predictions for 2024. Fourth on the top five list is Managing Misinformation. Here's an excerpt from the report: “AI deepfakes (text, audio, and visual) will become a regular electioneering tool that will require careful management.” Other predictions from the top five list are highlighted in separate Tweets. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1758225882278416535.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2024, February 15). 🔮 Top 5 Technology Predictions for 2024 🔮 #IEEE is the world's largest technical professional organization dedicated to advancing #technology for the benefit of humanity, and I'm proud to be a member. The IEEE's Computer Society released #predictions for 2024. Fifth on the top five list is Remote Healthcare/Monitoring Sensors. Here's an excerpt from the report: “Remote healthcare, monitoring sensors, and system-level data integration will enable patients to obtain remote medical assistance, physicians to improve diagnosis and treatment, optimal utilization of individuals’ medical history, and efficient health care delivery protocols.” Other predictions from the top five list are highlighted in separate Tweets. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1758309611315294543.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2025, August 2). Predictions Follow-up. #IEEE #ComputerSociety's top #predictions from a year ago included #RemoteHealthcare (see below)? 🎯 Hit or miss? Hit. Telehealth surged. Wearables advanced monitoring. Data integration improved diagnosis. Full medical history use, etc. still progressing. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1951824321334419750.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2025, August 2). Predictions Follow-up. #IEEE #ComputerSociety's top #predictions from a year ago included #Misinformation (see below). 🎯 Hit or miss? Hit. AI-driven deepfakes and misinformation escalated, spreading across digital platforms and demanding robust countermeasures throughout. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1951864035630276964.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2025, August 4). Predictions Follow-up. #IEEE #ComputerSociety's top #predictions from a year ago included Next Gen #AI (see below). 🎯 Hit or miss? Hit. Advancements such as more sophisticated LLMs and multimodal systems pushed beyond previous capabilities with broader adoption and impact. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1952427998839476336.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2025, August 6). Predictions Follow-up. #IEEE #ComputerSociety's top #predictions from a year ago included #Cybersecurity (see below). 🎯 Hit or miss? Hit. AI-driven threat detection has bolstered trust and supported critical applications. But rising ransomware and phishing attacks persist. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1953132783980954002.
Graffius, Scott M. [@scottgraffius]. (2025, August 6). Predictions Follow-up. #IEEE #ComputerSociety's top #predictions from a year ago included #GenerativeAI (see below). 🎯 Hit or miss? Hit. With 71%+ of organizations employing generative AI, use is widespread. But there are significant ethical and societal issues. [Post]. X. Available at: https://x.com/ScottGraffius/status/1953203709602943194.
Hahn, M., Zeng, W., Kannen, N., Galt, R., Badola, K., Kim, B., & Wang, Z. (2025, May 1). Proactive Agents for Multi-Turn Text-to-Image Generation Under Uncertainty. In Proceedings of International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML) 2025. Google DeepMind. Available at: https://deepmind.google/research/publications/121578/.
IEEE Computer Society (2024, February 15). Technology Predictions Report 2024. IEEE Computer Society. IEEE Computer Society. Available at: https://ieeecs-media.computer.org/media/tech-news/tech-predictions-report-2024.pdf.
Khandabattu, H. (2025, July 8). The 2025 Hype Cycle for Artificial Intelligence Goes Beyond GenAI. Gartner. Available at: https://www.gartner.com/en/articles/hype-cycle-for-artificial-intelligence.
Le Poldevin, Olivia (2025, July 11). UN Report Urges Stronger Measures to Detect AI-Driven Deepfakes. Reuters. Available at: https://www.reuters.com/business/un-report-urges-stronger-measures-detect-ai-driven-deepfakes-2025-07-11/.
Lopez, C. T. (2025, June 18). DARPA Calls on Industry to Assist with Improving, Strengthening DOD Cybersecurity. U.S. Department of Defense. Available at: https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/4220945/darpa-calls-on-industry-to-assist-with-improving-strengthening-dod-cybersecurity/.
Marr, B. (2024, December 16). 6 Game-Changing AI Breakthroughs That Defined 2024. Forbes. Available at: https://www.forbes.com/sites/bernardmarr/2024/12/16/6-game-changing-ai-breakthroughs-that-defined-2024/.
McKinsey & Company (2025). The Economic Potential of Generative AI: The Next Productivity Frontier. McKinsey & Company. Available at: https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/the-economic-potential-of-generative-ai-the-next-productivity-frontier.
Morley, Colleen (2025, January 1). From Vital Signs to Virtual Care: The Evolution of Remote Patient Monitoring in Modern Healthcare. HealthTech. Available at: https://www.healthtechmagazines.com/from-vital-signs-to-virtual-care-the-evolution-of-remote-patient-monitoring-in-modern-healthcare/.
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (2025). The Effects of Generative AI on Productivity, Innovation, and Entrepreneurship. OECD. Available at: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/the-effects-of-generative-ai-on-productivity-innovation-and-entrepreneurship_b21df222-en.html.
Patishman, Henry (2025, August 12). AI and Deepfake Laws of 2025. Regula Forensics. Available at: https://regulaforensics.com/blog/deepfake-regulations/.
Sandalow, Maya, & Harris, Julia (2025, January 9). Maximizing the Value of Remote Patient Monitoring. Bipartisan Policy Center. Available at: https://bipartisanpolicy.org/explainer/maximizing-the-value-of-remote-patient-monitoring/.
Stanford Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI) (2025). The 2025 AI Index Report. Stanford HAI. Available at: https://hai.stanford.edu/ai-index/2025-ai-index-report.
Sweeney, Erica (2025, July 23). Cedars-Sinai's AI Tool Delivered 24/7 Care to 42,000 Patients. Business Insider. Available at: https://www.businessinsider.com/cedars-sinai-la-healthcare-organization-ai-platform-patient-care-treatment-2025-7.
U.S. Department of Energy (2025). Cybersecurity Strategy. U.S. Department of Energy. Available at: https://www.energy.gov/topics/cybersecurity.
White, Monica J. (2025, August 31). AI Impersonation Scams are Sky-Rocketing in 2025, Security Experts Warn - Here's How to Stay Safe. TechRadar. Available at: https://www.techradar.com/computing/cyber-security/ai-impersonation-scams-are-sky-rocketing-in-2025-security-experts-warn-heres-how-to-stay-safe.
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Pinterest Inc. References Scott M. Graffius’ Research
Bournemouth University Used Scott M. Graffius’ Intellectual Property
‘Comparative Methodological Guidelines: Handbook for Educators’ Violates Scott M. Graffius’ Copyright
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Radio Silence from the American Association of Neurological Surgeons on Report of Blatant Plagiarism in Their ‘Journal of Neurosurgery’ Publication
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Thinkers360 Named Scott M. Graffius a Top Thought Leader on Agile
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FINAT (Fédération Internationale des Fabricants et Transformateurs d'Adhésifs et Thermocollants sur Papiers et Autres Supports) Features Scott M. Graffius’ Intellectual Property
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A Certification/Training Company Stole Scott M. Graffius' Copyrighted Property and Used It Word-For-Word: This Scandal is a Big "Dumpster Fire"
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Pudgy Penguins CEO Luca Netz Used Scott M. Graffius' Intellectual Property (IP) Without Consent or Credit; That Act was Uncool and Proliferated Bad Vibes
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Division of the EU’s European Commission Used Material Developed by Scott M. Graffius
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UK Telecommunications Regulator Ofcom Featured Research by Scott M. Graffius
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About Scott M. Graffius
Scott M. Graffius is a globally recognized technology leader who drives innovation in AI, Agile, and Project Management/PMO leadership.
He’s a practitioner, researcher, thought leader, award-winning author, and keynote speaker who’s taken the stage at 95 conferences and other events across 25 countries.
He’s delivered over $2.3 billion in value for Fortune 500 companies and other leaders in technology, entertainment, financial services, healthcare, and beyond.
Businesses, professional associations, government agencies, and universities use Graffius and feature his work. Examples include Adobe, Bayer, Boston University, Ford, Gartner, Harvard Medical School, IEEE, Johns Hopkins University, Microsoft, National Academy of Sciences, Oracle, Pinterest Inc., Project Management Institute, UC San Diego, Verizon, Yale University, and others.
The following sections provide additional information on his experience, contributions, and influence.
Experience
Graffius heads the professional services firm Exceptional PPM and PMO Solutions, along with its subsidiary Exceptional Agility. These consultancies offer strategic and tactical advisory, training, embedded expertise, and consulting services to the public, private, and government sectors. They help organizations enhance their capabilities and results in agile, project management, program management, portfolio management, and PMO leadership, supporting innovation and driving competitive advantage. The consultancies confidently back services with a Delighted Client Guarantee™.
Graffius is a former VP of project management with a publicly traded provider of diverse consumer products and services over the Internet. Before that, he ran and supervised the delivery of projects and programs in public and private organizations with businesses ranging from e-commerce to advanced technology products and services, retail, manufacturing, entertainment, and more.
He has experience with consumer, business, reseller, government, and international markets.
Award-Winning Author
Graffius has authored three books.
- Agile Scrum: Your Quick Start Guide with Step-by-Step Instructions, his first book, earned 17 awards.
- Agile Transformation: A Brief Story of How an Entertainment Company Developed New Capabilities and Unlocked Business Agility to Thrive in an Era of Rapid Change, his second book, was named one of the best Scrum books of all time by BookAuthority.
- Agile Protocol: The Transformation Ultimatum, his third book and his first work of fiction, was released in April 2025. The book trailer is on YouTube.
International Public Speaker
Organizations worldwide engage Graffius to present on tech (including AI), Agile, project management, program management, portfolio management, and PMO leadership. He crafts and delivers unique and compelling talks and workshops. Graffius has conducted 95 sessions across 25 countries. Select examples of events include Agile Trends Gov, BSides (Newcastle Upon Tyne), Conf42 Quantum Computing, DevDays Europe, DevOps Institute, DevOpsDays (Geneva), Frug’Agile, IEEE, Microsoft, Scottish Summit, Scrum Alliance RSG (Nepal), Techstars, and W Love Games International Video Game Development Conference (Helsinki), and more.
With an average rating of 4.81 (on a scale of 1-5), sessions are highly valued.
The speaker engagement request form is here.
Thought Leadership and Influence
Prominent businesses, professional associations, government agencies, and universities have showcased Graffius and his contributions—spanning his books, talks, workshops, and beyond. Select examples include:
- Adobe,
- American Management Association,
- Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute,
- Bayer,
- BMC Software,
- Boston University,
- Broadcom,
- Cisco,
- Coburg University of Applied Sciences and Arts - Germany,
- Computer Weekly,
- Constructor University - Germany,
- Data Governance Success,
- Deimos Aerospace,
- DevOps Institute,
- Dropbox,
- EU's European Commission,
- Ford Motor Company,
- Gartner,
- GoDaddy,
- Harvard Medical School,
- Hasso Plattner Institute - Germany,
- IEEE,
- Innovation Project Management,
- Johns Hopkins University,
- Journal of Neurosurgery,
- Lam Research (Semiconductors),
- Leadership Worthy,
- Life Sciences Trainers and Educators Network,
- London South Bank University,
- Microsoft,
- NASSCOM,
- National Academy of Sciences,
- New Zealand Government,
- Oracle,
- Pinterest Inc.,
- Project Management Institute,
- Mary Raum (Professor of National Security Affairs, United States Naval War College),
- SANS Institute,
- SBG Neumark - Germany,
- Singapore Institute of Technology,
- Torrens University - Australia,
- TBS Switzerland,
- Tufts University,
- UC San Diego,
- UK Sports Institute,
- University of Galway - Ireland,
- US Department of Energy,
- US National Park Service,
- US Soccer,
- US Tennis Association,
- Verizon,
- Wrike,
- Yale University,
- and many others.
Graffius has played a key role in the Project Management Institute (PMI) in developing professional standards. He was a member of multiple teams that authored, reviewed, and produced:
- Practice Standard for Work Breakdown Structures—Second Edition.
- A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge—Sixth Edition.
- The Standard for Program Management—Fourth Edition.
- The Practice Standard for Project Estimating—Second Edition.
Additional details are here.
He was also a subject matter expert reviewer of content for the PMI’s Congress. Beyond the PMI, Graffius also served as a member of the review team for two of the Scrum Alliance’s Global Scrum Gatherings.
Acclaimed Authority on Teamwork Tradecraft
Graffius is a renowned authority on teamwork tradecraft. Informed by the research of Bruce W. Tuckman and Mary Ann C. Jensen, over 100 subsequent studies, and Graffius' first-hand professional experience with, and analysis of, team leadership and performance, Graffius created his 'Phases of Team Development' as a unique perspective and visual conveying the five phases of team development. First introduced in 2008 and periodically updated, his work provides a diagnostic and strategic guide for navigating team dynamics. It provides actionable insights for leaders across industries to develop high-performance teams. Its adoption by esteemed organizations such as Yale University, IEEE, Cisco, Microsoft, Ford, Oracle, Broadcom, the U.S. National Park Service, and the Journal of Neurosurgery, among others, highlights its utility and value, solidifying its status as an indispensable resource for elevating team performance and driving organizational excellence.
The 2025 edition of Graffius' "Phases of Team Development" intellectual property is here.
Expert on Temporal Dynamics on Social Media Platforms
Graffius is also an authority on temporal dynamics on social media platforms. His 'Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts' research—first published in 2018 and updated annually—delivers a precise quantitative analysis of post longevity across digital platforms, utilizing advanced statistical techniques to determine mean half-life with precision. It establishes a solid empirical base, effectively highlighting the ephemeral nature of content within social media ecosystems. Referenced and applied by leading entities such as the Center for Direct Marketing, Fast Company, GoDaddy, Pinterest Inc., and PNAS, among others, his research exemplifies methodological rigor and sustained significance in the field of digital informatics.
The 2025 edition of Graffius "Lifespan (Half-Life) of Social Media Posts" research is here.
Education and Professional Certifications
Graffius has a bachelor’s degree in psychology with a focus in Human Factors. He holds eight professional certifications:
- Certified SAFe 6 Agilist (SA),
- Certified Scrum Professional - ScrumMaster (CSP-SM),
- Certified Scrum Professional - Product Owner (CSP-PO),
- Certified ScrumMaster (CSM),
- Certified Scrum Product Owner (CSPO),
- Project Management Professional (PMP),
- Lean Six Sigma Green Belt (LSSGB), and
- IT Service Management Foundation (ITIL).
He is an active member of the Scrum Alliance, the Project Management Institute (PMI), and the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).
Advancing AI, Agile, and Project/PMO Management
Scott M. Graffius continues to advance the fields of AI, Agile, and Project/PMO Management through his leadership, research, writing, and real-world impact. Businesses and other organizations leverage Graffius’ insights to drive their success.
Check out Scott’s books:
- Agile Scrum: Your Quick Start Guide with Step-by-Step Instructions — Deliver Products in Short Cycles with Rapid Adaptation to Change, Fast Time-to-Market, and Continuous Improvement
- Agile Transformation: A Brief Story of How an Entertainment Company Developed New Capabilities and Unlocked Business Agility to Thrive in an Era of Rapid Change
- Agile Protocol: The Transformation Ultimatum
Follow and connect with Scott on social media:
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How to Cite This Article
Graffius, Scott M. (2025, September 6). Top Predictions of 2024, Tested in 2025. Available at: https://scottgraffius.com/blog/files/top-predictions-of-2024-tested-in-2025.html.
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
DOI: (coming soon)
Content Acknowledgements
Names, marks, and content are the property of their respective owners.
IEEE and IEEE Computer Society names, marks, and content are the property of the IEEE.
This article uses limited excerpts from the IEEE, IEEE Computer Society, and IEEE Computer Society’s Technology Predictions Report 2024, attributed and used under fair use for news reporting and analysis.
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Post-Publication Notes
If there are any supplements or updates to this article after the date of publication, they will appear here.
Copyright
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